Friday, November 5, 2010

Tough Talk on Quantitative Easing


This WSJ editorial reflects the views of my previous post regarding quantitative easing round II.

More monetary cowbell. The Wall Street Journal, Nov. 4.

This was my post from yesterday:


From the WSJ editorial:

"This is a terribly risky strategy for what we expect will be little economic gain. The Fed hopes the policy will have the effect of reducing long-term interest rates by 25 to 50 basis points or more, but the 10-year Treasury bond is already near historic lows. Marginal business borrowers aren't worried about the price of money; they're worried about the vagaries of economic policy. QE2 only adds to this uncertainty, as the Fed expands its role into fiscal policy and credit allocation." italics added

I hope the Fed watches the effect of its policy very closely. Bond markets are complex, driven by many different forces. A $600 billion intervention is likely to cause significant distortion at a time when self-healing is needed. The folks at the Fed overshot a bit on this move.

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